Portland Guide Service
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in Portland fish for Salmon, Steelhead, Sturgeon, Bass
Walleye and all popular fish.
Hi guys
The winter Steelhead fishing is HOT!!! The best I have seen
in many years!!!! Things have lined up perfect this season
so far as for the water levels, clarity and the abundance of
fish!!! We are having a lot of fun catching these awesome
fish. I would have to say we should have this kind of action
over the next few weeks. So be sure to get out now for some
winter Steelhead action!!!! We are side drifting with light
tackle for these fish. The first three photos are of recent
Steelhead trips.
Also I am happy to say that we are going to have a
excellent Spring Salmon run. You can look at the predictions
below from the state. I know that we have been disappointed
in recent years but it looks like they have taken extra
precautions this year and left room for error as well
as still coming up with almost a half a million Springer's
back to the Columbia and 5000-6000 to the Lewis (which is
awesome) !!!! This will be a spring season to remember. I
will expect to have many days with limits and high numbers
of fish like in the last two salmon photos from year past.
We will start off fishing in the Columbia in late March till
late April. Then move into the Lewis, Cowlitz, and
Willamette after that. So be sure to book now for prime
dates. Feel free to give me a call to go over any details as
well. I look forward to fishing and talking to you soon.

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Fishery managers predict 470,000
Columbia River spring Chinook in 2010
SALEM, Ore. -- The technical committee advising
Columbia River fishery managers has released its
forecast for the 2010 spring Chinook run. If the
fish show up as projected, the forecast of 470,000
spring Chinook would be the largest return to the
Columbia since 1938.Portland Guide Service
offers fishing trips for people all year long.
The forecasted run is up significantly from last
year’s final run of 169,300 fish.
Because of challenges in forecasting the spring
Chinook returns in recent years, members of the
Technical Advisory Committee (TAC) had to reconsider
the model they have used in past years to predict
the number of returning fish.
According to Stuart Ellis, current chair of the TAC
and fisheries scientist with the Columbia River
Inter-Tribal Fish Commission (CRITFC), committee
members were leery of the record number of spring
Chinook “jacks” counted at Bonneville Dam in 2009.
Jacks are immature, precocious males that return
after just one or two years in the ocean.
In the past few years, forecasts relying heavily on
jack counts from the previous season had overstated
the actual return of adult fish by an average of 45
percent. An accurate preseason forecast is necessary
to set commercial and recreational harvest levels
that meet treaty obligations under U.S. v Oregon and
conservation mandates to protect fish runs listed
under the federal Endangered Species Act. |
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Ellis said this year the committee considered several
additional models that took into account other factors such
as ocean conditions.
“The number of jacks that returned in 2009 was four times
greater than anything we’ve seen before, which made the
number a statistical anomaly,” Ellis said. “At the same
time, we know the environment for young salmon appears to be
changing and we need to account for that.”
“We’re still projecting a strong return for upriver spring
Chinook salmon next year, but we needed to temper last
year’s jack return with other indicators of spring Chinook
abundance,” he added.
The seven models chosen by TAC generated a range of
predicted run sizes from 366,000 to 528,000 adults. The
committee members agreed on 470,000 as an average of the
models. This forecast will now be used by the managers to
develop preseason fishing plans.
Washington Bonneville Pool Tributaries
Adult Spring Chinook
2009 Returns and 2010 Forecasts
The 2009 total return of adult spring Chinook to the
Washington Bonneville Pool tributaries was slightly less
than the pre-season forecasts.
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A total of 18,500 adult spring Chinook were
predicted to return to the Wind and Klickitat
rivers plus Drano Lake in 2009; the actual
return was 16,900.
The three year-old jack returns to all three
tributaries were the highest or second highest
since at least the 1970s.
There have been challenges in recent years
forecasting returns to these areas and several
new models were explored to predict Wind River
and Drano Lake returns for 2010.
Unlike most upriver spring Chinook returns, the
Klickitat River has more of a proven track
record and the Yakima Nation used standard
regression models for the 2010 forecast.
The 2010 pre-season forecast for all three areas
is 47,400 adults.
The majority of the adults returning in 2010 are
expected to be four year-olds. |
Portland Guide Service for Wind River
2009 actual adult return was 4,650; pre-season forecast
6,900.
The 1,200 three year-old jacks that returned in 2009 were
the second highest since at least 1970 (highest was 1,500
fish in 1971).
The 2010 pre-season forecast is 14,000 adults.
The 2010 return would be the largest since 2003 and over
300% greater than the recent five year average.
Drano Lake
2009 actual adult return was 10,700; pre-season forecast
9,600.
The 2009 return was slightly greater than the recent ten
year average.
The 3,150 three year-old jacks that returned in 2009 were
the highest since at least 1970 and 470% greater than the
previous high of 664 fish in 1976.
The 2010 pre-season forecast of 28,900 adults would be the
largest since at least 1970 (largest to date is 17,600
adults in 2002).
Portland Guide Service for Klickitat River (forecast
provided by the Yakima Nation)
2009 actual adult return was 1,500; pre-season forecast
2,000.
The 2009 return was slightly less than the recent five year
average.
The 1,250 three year-old jacks that returned in 2009 were
the second highest since at least 1977 (highest was 2,900
fish in 1979).
The 2010 pre-season forecast is 4,500 adults.
The 2010 return would be the second largest since at least
1977 (largest is 5,250 fish in 1989; however, that return
included 4,100 four year-old Carson stock adults. The 2010
return would be the largest return of Klickitat only fish